Probabilistic Transmission System Planning

A solid reference exploring one of the most important areas in the electric power industry
Transmission planning is one of the most essential activities in the electric power industry, with billions of dollars invested in transmission systems by electric utility companies and governments every year. In the United States alone, the Obama Administration′s energy plan is spending about four billion dollars in smart grids and transmission infrastructures.
Systematically discussing probabilistic transmission planning and its applications that make systems smarter, Probabilistic Transmission System Planning addresses the concepts, models, methods, data, and various actual issues in probabilistic transmission planning. The probabilistic concept is a main thread throughout the book and touches each chapter. The applied examples are all based on real projects that have been implemented in the utility industry.
All basic aspects in transmission planning are covered, including:
Load forecast and load modeling
Conventional and special system analysis techniques
Reliability evaluation
Economic assessment
Data preparation
Fuzzy techniques for data uncertainty
Network reinforcement planning
Retirement planning of network components
Substation planning
Single–circuit supply system planning
Major blackout events in power systems in recent years indicate that deterministic methods are not good enough. With probabilistic methods providing planning solutions closer to reality, Probabilistic Transmission System Planning presents practicing engineers, researchers, professors, and graduates in the power system field with the latest ideas and methods for enhancing transmission systems.

Spis treści:
Preface and Acknowledgments.
1. Introduction.
1.1 Overview of Transmission Planning.
1.2 Ne cessity of Probabilistic Transmission Planning.
1.3 Outline of the book.
2. Basic Concepts of Probabilistic Planning.
2.1 Introduction.
2.2 Probabilistic Planning Criteria.
2.3 Procedure of Probabilistic Planning.
2.4 Other Aspects in Probabilistic Planning.
2.5 Conclusions.
3. Loading Modeling.
3.1 Introduction.
3.2 Load Forecast.
3.3 Load Clustering.
3.4 Uncertainty and Correlation of Bus Loads.
3.5 Voltage– and Frequency–Dependent Bus Loads.
3.6 Conclusions.
4. System Analysis Techniques.
4.1 Introduction.
4.2 Power Flow.
4.3 Probabilistic Power Flow.
4.4 Optimal Power Flow (OPF).
4.5 Probabilistic Search Optimization Algorithms.
4.6 Contingency Analysis and Ranking.
4.7 Voltage Stability Evaluation.
4.8 Transient Stability Solution.
4.9 Conclusions.
5. Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation.
5.1 Introduction.
5.2 Reliability Indices.
5.3 Reliability Worth Assessment.
5.4 Substation Adequacy Evaluation.
5.5 Composite System Adequacy Evaluation.
5.6 Probabilistic Voltage Stability Assessment.
5.7 Probabilistic Transient Stability Assessment.
5.8 Conclusions.
6. Economic Analysis Methods.
6.1 Introduction.
6.2 Cost Components of Projects.
6.3 Time Value of Money and Present Value Method.
6.4 Depreciation.
6.5 Economic Assessment of Investment Projects.
6.6 Economic Assessment of Equipment Replacement.
6.7 Uncertainty Analysis in Economic Assessment.
6.8 Conclusions.
7. Data in Probabilistic Transmission Planning.
7.1 Introduction.
7.2 Data for Power System Analysis.
7.3 Reliability Data in Probabilistic Planning.
7.4 Other Data.
7.5 Conclusions.
8. Fuzzy Techniques for Data Uncertainty.
8.1 Introduction.
8.2 Fuzzy Models of Systems Component Outages.
8.3 Mixed Fuzzy and Probabilistic Models for Loads.
8.4 Combined Probabilistic and Fuzzy Techniques.< br>8.5 Example 1: Case Study Not Considering Weather Effects.
8.6 Example 2: Case Study Considering Weather Effects.
8.7 Conclusions.
9. Network Reinforcement Planning.
9.1 Introduction.
9.2 Probabilistic Planning of Bulk Power Supply System.
9.3 Probabilistic Planning of Transmission Loop Network.
9.4 Conclusions.
10. Retirement Planning of Network Components.
10.1 Introduction.
10.2 Retirement Timing of an Aged AC Cable.
10.3 Replacement Strategy of an HVDC Cable.
10.4 Conclusions.
11. Substation Planning.
11.1 Introduction.
11.2 Probabilistic Planning of Substation Configuration.
11.3 Transformer Spare Planning.
11.4 Conclusions.
12. Single Circuit Supply System Planning.
12.1 Introduction.
12.2 Reliability Performance of Single Circuit Supply Systems.
12.3 Planning Method of Single Circuit Supply Systems.
12.4 Application to Actual Utility System.
12.5 Conclusions.
Appendix A. Elements of Probability Theory and Statistics.
Appendix B. Elements of Fuzzy Mathematics.
Appendix C. Elements of Reliability Evaluation.
References.
Index.

Nota biograficzna:

Award–winning author Wenyuan Li is well known and highly respected in the field of electrical power engineering. He serves as Principle Engineer at BC Hydro and is a fellow of IEEE and EIC, serving on the editorial board of several international journals.He has published five books and numerous academic papers on power systems.