Modeling of Transport Demand: Analyzing, Calculating, and Forecasting Transport Demand

Modeling Transportation Demand: Analyzing, Calculating, and Forecasting Transport Demand explains the mechanisms of transportation demand, from analysis, to calculation and forecasting. Packed with strategies for forecasting future demand for all transportation modes, the book helps readers assess the validity and accuracy of demand forecasts. As forecasting and evaluating transport demand is an essential task for transportation professionals and researches, affecting the design, extension, operation and maintenance of all transport infrastructure, accurate demand forecasts are essential for companies and government entities when planning future fleet size, human resource needs, revenues, expenses, and budgets.

The book assists those tasked with constructing econometric models with choosing the most suitable solution for all types of transportation applications.

Presents the most recent and relevant findings and research - both at theoretical and practical levels - of transport demandProvides a theoretical analysis and formulations that are clearly presented for ease of understandingCovers analysis for all modes of transportationIncludes case studies that present the most appropriate formulas and methods for finding solutions and evaluating results

1. Transport demand and factors affecting it 2. Evolution and trends of transport demand 3. Methods of modeling transport demand 4. Executive judgment, Delphi, scenario writing and survey methods 5. Statistical methods for transport demand modeling 6. Trend projection and time series methods 7. Econometric, gravity and the 4–step methods 8. Artificial intelligence – Neural network methods 9. Fuzzy methods