Risk-Based Reliability Analysis and Generic Principles for Risk Reduction

This book has been written with the intention to fill two big gaps in the reliability and risk literature: the risk-based reliability analysis as a powerful alternative to the traditional reliability analysis and the generic principles for reducing technical risk.

An important theme in the book is the generic principles and techniques for reducing technical risk. These have been classified into three major categories: preventive (reducing the likelihood of failure), protective (reducing the consequences from failure) and dual (reducing both, the likelihood and the consequences from failure). Many of these principles (for example: avoiding clustering of events, deliberately introducing weak links, reducing sensitivity, introducing changes with opposite sign, etc.) are discussed in the reliability literature for the first time.

Significant space has been allocated to component reliability. In the last chapter of the book, several applications are discussed of a powerful equation which constitutes the core of a new theory of locally initiated component failure by flaws whose number is a random variable.

Offers a shift in the existing paradigm for conducting reliability analysesCovers risk-based reliability analysis and generic principles for reducing riskProvides a new measure of risk based on the distribution of the potential losses from failure as well as the basic principles for risk-based designIncorporates fast algorithms for system reliability analysis and discrete-event simulatorsIncludes the probability of failure of a structure with complex shape expressed with a simple equation

Chapter 1: RISK-BASED RELIABILITY ANALYSIS: A POWERFUL ALTERNATIVE TO THE TRADITIONAL RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

Chapter 2: BASIC RELIABILITY CONCEPTS AND CONVENTIONS USED FOR DETERMINING THE LOSSES FROM FAILURES

Chapter 3: METHODS FOR ANALYSIS OF COMPLEX RELIABILITY NETWORKS

Chapter 4: PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT AND RISK MANAGEMENT

Chapter 5: POTENTIAL LOSS FROM FAILURE FOR NON-REPAIRABLE COMPONENTS AND SYSTEMS WITH MULTIPLE FAILURE MODES

Chapter 6: LOSSES FROM FAILURES FOR REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS WITH COMPONENTS LOGICALLY ARRANGED IN SERIES

Chapter 7: RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF COMPLEX REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS BASED ON CONSTRUCTING THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE POTENTIAL LOSSES

Chapter 8: RELIABILITY VALUE ANALYSIS FOR COMPLEX SYSTEMS

Chapter 9: RELIABILITY ALLOCATION BASED ON MINIMISING THE TOTAL COST

Chapter 10: GENERIC APPROACHES TO REDUCING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FAILURES

Chapter 11: SPECIFIC PRINCIPLES FOR REDUCING THE LIKELIHOOD OF FAILURES

Chapter 12: REDUCING THE RISK OF FAILURE BY REDUCING THE NEGATIVE IMPACT FROM THE VARIABILITY OF DESIGN PARAMETERS

Chapter 13: GENERIC SOLUTIONS FOR REDUCING THE LIKELIHOOD OF OVERSTRESS AND WEAROUT FAILURES

Chapter 14: REDUCING THE RISK OF FAILURE BY REMOVING LATENT FAULTS, AND AVOIDING COMMON CAUSE FAILURES

Chapter 15: CONSEQUENCE ANALYSIS AND GENERIC PRINCIPLES FOR REDUCING THE CONSEQUENCES FROM FAILURES

Chapter 16: LOCALLY INITIATED FAILURE AND RISK REDUCTION

APPENDIX: MONTE CARLO SIMULATION ROUTINES USED IN THE ALGORITHMS FOR RISK-BASED RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

REFERENCES

INDEX